CD Lugo vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
GIR
1 - 1
LUG
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 0
FUE
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ALM
4 - 1
LUG
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
UDL
62%
24%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
OVI
3 - 1
LUG
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAB
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LEG
0 - 0
CAS
73%
19%
8%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
UDL
21%
27%
52%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
GIR
2 - 1
CAS
70%
21%
9%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
FUE
25%
29%
45%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |