CD Lugo vs CP Cacereño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CER
2 - 1
LUG
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 2
DEP
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CDO
0 - 0
LUG
25%
24%
50%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
LUG
0 - 0
CEL
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2010 |
PON
0 - 1
LUG
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CPC
0 - 2
GUA
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
LEG
1 - 0
CPC
61%
23%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
CPC
1 - 2
SLA
19%
24%
58%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CER
1 - 2
CPC
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CPC
4 - 0
CDT
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |