CD Lugo vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
12.1%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
BAS
2 - 0
LUG
40%
31%
29%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
LUG
1 - 2
PON
33%
32%
35%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
CDO
4 - 1
LUG
64%
25%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
LUG
1 - 0
BER
72%
21%
8%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
LUG
1 - 1
ARN
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
CDU
1 - 1
LAL
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
PON
4 - 2
CDU
72%
19%
9%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
CDU
1 - 1
AVI
45%
29%
26%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
LEM
0 - 0
CDU
68%
22%
11%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
CDU
1 - 0
CUL
39%
28%
33%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |