CD Lugo vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
CDO
2 - 0
LUG
77%
16%
7%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
LUG
3 - 0
CAU
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
ATH
3 - 0
LUG
82%
13%
5%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
LUG
3 - 1
SSC
35%
27%
38%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +3 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
SIE
0 - 0
LUG
40%
28%
32%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 2
ROB
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
ENS
1 - 1
BAS
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
BAS
1 - 2
CUL
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
PON
4 - 1
BAS
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
BAS
3 - 0
TOL
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |