CD Lugo vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.4%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
FOZ
0 - 0
LUG
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
LUG
0 - 0
COM
27%
22%
52%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
CEL
0 - 2
LUG
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
LUG
5 - 1
CHO
81%
13%
7%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
ALO
3 - 1
LUG
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
ACF
0 - 1
LEM
59%
23%
18%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
ARO
1 - 1
ACF
57%
23%
21%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
ACF
6 - 0
ASP
39%
26%
35%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
ACF
0 - 0
ARE
49%
25%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
FOZ
3 - 1
ACF
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |