CD Lugo vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.4%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
ARO
0 - 0
LUG
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
MAR
1 - 2
LUG
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
LUG
3 - 2
CHO
86%
9%
5%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
BUE
1 - 4
LUG
37%
26%
38%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
LUG
1 - 0
FOZ
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
ACF
0 - 0
DEP
34%
26%
40%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
ARO
0 - 1
ACF
67%
19%
15%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
ACF
4 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
CHO
2 - 0
ACF
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
ACF
2 - 0
BUE
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |