CD Lugo vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
LUG
3 - 2
LEM
86%
10%
5%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
ARO
1 - 0
LUG
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
LUG
8 - 1
MAR
91%
7%
3%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
LUG
2 - 0
BUE
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
ATO
1 - 2
LUG
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
COX
2 - 2
ACF
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
ACF
1 - 1
ALO
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
ZEL
2 - 4
ACF
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
ACF
5 - 0
FOZ
73%
16%
10%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
GRA
1 - 0
ACF
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |