CD Lugo vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
CEL
1 - 2
LUG
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
LUG
2 - 1
VIV
86%
9%
5%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
CHO
1 - 3
LUG
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
LUG
1 - 0
ZEL
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
COX
0 - 2
LUG
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
ACF
1 - 0
ORD
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
MAR
2 - 1
ACF
50%
23%
28%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
ACF
0 - 0
ARO
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
ACF
1 - 0
SAN
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
CEL
2 - 1
ACF
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |