CD Lugo vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
FLA
0 - 1
LUG
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
LUG
4 - 0
UDA
89%
7%
3%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
JUV
2 - 0
LUG
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -3 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
LUG
4 - 1
BET
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
LUG
2 - 0
RIB
89%
8%
4%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
UDA
0 - 2
ACF
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
ACF
0 - 2
ZEL
77%
14%
10%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
GRA
1 - 2
ACF
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
ACF
3 - 0
ZEL
79%
13%
9%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
PON
1 - 2
ACF
53%
22%
26%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |