CD Lugo vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
CDO
3 - 2
LUG
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
LUG
3 - 2
CEL
55%
21%
25%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
FLA
0 - 0
LUG
64%
18%
17%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
ORD
0 - 0
LUG
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
LUG
3 - 1
MAR
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
ACF
1 - 0
MAR
75%
14%
11%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
JUV
0 - 1
ACF
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
ACF
4 - 0
BET
84%
10%
6%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
RIB
2 - 4
ACF
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
ACF
2 - 0
LEM
69%
17%
15%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |