CD Lugo vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1955 |
LEM
2 - 0
LUG
65%
19%
17%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
LUG
1 - 2
PON
63%
18%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
LUG
2 - 1
JUV
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 1955 |
BET
3 - 2
LUG
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1955 |
LUG
2 - 0
CDO
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1955 |
ACF
1 - 1
JUV
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
BET
1 - 2
ACF
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
ACF
2 - 2
CDO
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1955 |
PON
0 - 5
ACF
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1955 |
ACF
0 - 0
CEL
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |