CD Lugo vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
PON
1 - 1
LUG
58%
19%
23%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
CAL
1 - 1
LUG
48%
22%
30%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
LUG
1 - 1
VAL
85%
10%
6%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
ARO
1 - 0
LUG
36%
23%
41%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
LUG
4 - 0
LEM
87%
9%
5%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ACF
4 - 2
LEO
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
ACF
1 - 0
TUR
74%
15%
12%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACF
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
ACF
3 - 2
CEL
67%
17%
16%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
CDO
1 - 3
ACF
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |