CD Lugo vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
50.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
CCF
0 - 1
LUG
47%
26%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 1
LUG
46%
29%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 2
LUG
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 0
SMR
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
OVI
2 - 2
LUG
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
3 - 3
ELC
54%
25%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 1
OSA
64%
22%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ZAR
3 - 2
ALM
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ALM
3 - 2
LEG
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ELC
0 - 1
ALM
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |