CD Lugo vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
LUG
26%
26%
47%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 2
OVI
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ATB
0 - 0
LUG
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 0
LUG
25%
25%
49%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 0
LUG
19%
22%
59%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 1
ALC
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 0
LEG
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SSR
2 - 1
ALC
35%
27%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 2
RVB
31%
30%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |