CD Lugo vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
PON
1 - 0
LUG
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 2
CCF
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
OSA
4 - 0
LUG
53%
27%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 0
ZAR
35%
27%
39%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LEG
0 - 0
LUG
44%
29%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
LEG
3 - 1
ALA
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ALA
3 - 0
OSA
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ALA
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALA
0 - 0
LEG
47%
26%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 2
ALA
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |