CD Lugo vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ZAR
0 - 0
LUG
61%
24%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 2
FCB
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
OSA
0 - 2
LUG
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 1
REC
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LEG
2 - 0
LUG
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ALA
3 - 0
OSA
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ALA
2 - 0
MLL
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SMR
3 - 1
ALA
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SAB
2 - 1
ALA
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALA
4 - 0
ZAR
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +2 |