CD Lugo vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
LUG
57%
26%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 2
DEP
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
LUG
68%
21%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LUG
3 - 0
PON
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MUR
3 - 1
LUG
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 1
DEP
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
PON
2 - 1
ALA
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 0
MLL
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
REC
0 - 2
ALA
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 2
RMC
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |