CD Lugo vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
30%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MLL
2 - 0
LUG
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 1
MAL
34%
30%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
UDL
6 - 1
LUG
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 1
SAB
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 0
CAS
59%
25%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 1
CAS
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
ALC
37%
29%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
OVI
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 0
ALC
57%
26%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 3
RAY
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |