CD Lugo vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
24.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CCF
1 - 0
LUG
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
GRA
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
CDT
3 - 1
LUG
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCB
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ZAR
2 - 0
LUG
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 0
VAD
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 2
CCF
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 0
ALC
63%
23%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDT
29%
29%
43%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
FCB
0 - 1
ALC
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |