CD Lugo vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
LEV
1 - 0
LUG
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 1
HUE
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LUG
3 - 1
NUM
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
UCA
1 - 2
LUG
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 3
CDT
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
CCF
1 - 2
ALC
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
UCA
53%
29%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
CCF
31%
28%
42%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 1
ALC
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CDT
2 - 0
ALC
40%
29%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |