CD Lugo vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
VAD
1 - 1
LUG
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 1
MLL
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ELC
2 - 0
LUG
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 1
GIR
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CDT
1 - 0
LUG
43%
29%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 1
OSA
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ZAR
3 - 1
ALC
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
LEG
33%
30%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALC
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
MIR
32%
29%
40%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |