CD Lugo vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ELC
0 - 0
LUG
74%
17%
8%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
4 - 0
XER
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
3 - 2
RAC
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 1
LUG
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
NUM
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 1
RAC
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALC
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
NUM
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 2
ALC
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 1
REC
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |