CD Lugo vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
PON
2 - 2
LUG
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 3
PON
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
CDO
1 - 0
LUG
67%
20%
12%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
LUG
5 - 1
AVI
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
SIE
1 - 0
LUG
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
ALC
1 - 2
SSR
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
PPJ
2 - 1
ALC
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
ALC
1 - 0
FUE
35%
27%
39%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
VEC
1 - 1
ALC
56%
24%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
ALC
2 - 2
CAU
32%
27%
41%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |