FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
5º
47
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
YOB
2 - 1
LUG
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
TSC
4 - 1
LUG
40%
23%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 0
YVE
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
GCZ
1 - 1
LUG
31%
24%
45%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 0
YOB
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
ZUR
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 0
YOB
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SIO
0 - 2
ZUR
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ZUR
1 - 3
SER
45%
25%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GCZ
1 - 2
ZUR
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |