FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
8º
2º
49
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 0
LUG
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LAU
3 - 1
LUG
20%
22%
58%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 4
LUG
26%
23%
52%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 1
YOB
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 3
BRU
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ZUR
0 - 2
SER
53%
22%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
ZUR
8%
15%
77%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ZUR
1 - 1
STA
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
YOB
0 - 0
ZUR
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZUR
3 - 2
WIN
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |