FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
LUG
4 - 1
STG
26%
23%
51%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
SER
2 - 2
LUG
34%
26%
41%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 1
YOB
19%
23%
58%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 1
GCZ
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
STG
3 - 0
LUG
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
ZUR
2 - 2
LAU
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
STG
1 - 2
ZUR
45%
24%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
ZUR
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ZUR
5 - 1
SIO
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ZUR
2 - 1
YOB
33%
24%
43%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |