FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
SIO
0 - 3
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LAU
2 - 0
LUG
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 3
FCL
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
SER
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 3
YOB
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
ZUR
1 - 2
FCL
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SER
3 - 1
ZUR
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SIO
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ZUR
2 - 0
BAS
22%
23%
56%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
FCV
3 - 2
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |