FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
SIO
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 1
LUG
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
NEX
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GCZ
1 - 1
LUG
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
BRE
0 - 0
LUG
41%
24%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ZUR
0 - 1
YOB
18%
22%
60%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GCZ
1 - 1
ZUR
22%
25%
52%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
ZUR
0 - 2
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SIO
1 - 0
ZUR
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ZUR
2 - 1
NEX
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |