FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
YOB
3 - 1
LUG
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 0
LAU
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 0
LUG
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
STG
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GCZ
4 - 3
LUG
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ZUR
4 - 1
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
THU
0 - 1
ZUR
38%
26%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 1
LAU
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ZUR
3 - 3
SIO
46%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 1
ZUR
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |