FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
THU
2 - 1
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 5
FCV
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCK
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LUG
4 - 1
GCZ
25%
23%
51%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 1
LUG
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FCL
1 - 2
ZUR
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SIO
50%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
DNI
0 - 0
ZUR
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
THU
1 - 4
ZUR
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SIO
46%
26%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |