FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
47.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 3
LUG
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SIO
3 - 0
LUG
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCL
25%
24%
52%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 3
BAS
19%
21%
61%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
LUG
4%
11%
85%
|
71 | 24 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WOH
0 - 1
ZUR
15%
19%
66%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ZUR
3 - 3
THU
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZUR
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ZUR
2 - 5
FCL
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TAV
1 - 6
ZUR
3%
8%
89%
|
79 | 20 | 59 | 0 |