FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
46.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2016 |
LUG
3 - 0
STG
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
FCV
0 - 0
LUG
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 3
YOB
26%
25%
50%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
ZUR
0 - 4
LUG
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 1
GCZ
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2016 |
ZUR
3 - 1
FCV
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SIO
2 - 2
ZUR
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
STG
3 - 0
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
ZUR
0 - 4
LUG
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ZUR
2 - 3
BAS
22%
23%
56%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |