FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
STG
3 - 2
LUG
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 1
SIO
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
FCL
1 - 1
LUG
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
SER
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
YVE
1 - 1
LUG
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SER
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
LAU
1 - 1
ZUR
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
GCZ
2 - 3
ZUR
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
ZUR
2 - 0
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
NEX
3 - 1
ZUR
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |