FC Lugano vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 2
WOH
65%
20%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
LUG
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 1
LOC
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BIE
1 - 2
LUG
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 1
STG
25%
25%
51%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 1
BIE
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
WIN
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
STG
1 - 1
WIN
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 0
ETO
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 2
BAS
12%
20%
68%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |