FC Lugano vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
LUG
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 1
BIE
65%
20%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LUG
3 - 1
LEM
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 0
LUG
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
WOH
0 - 2
LUG
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 2
WIN
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 1
LEM
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 2
WOH
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 0
FCA
39%
24%
38%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 2
STG
26%
23%
51%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |