FC Lugano vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
LUG
4 - 4
BIE
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 1
LUG
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 0
WIN
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
WOH
0 - 2
LUG
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
FCV
2 - 0
LUG
54%
23%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 1
WOH
71%
17%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LOC
2 - 6
WIL
17%
22%
62%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
WIL
6 - 1
SER
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
WIL
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 0
WIN
40%
25%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |