FC Lugano vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
KRI
0 - 1
LUG
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 1
SCH
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BIE
2 - 3
LUG
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCV
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2010 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCA
65%
20%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
WIL
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2011 |
WIL
0 - 0
SER
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LAU
2 - 0
WIL
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
WIL
2 - 1
SCH
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
DEL
1 - 0
WIL
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |