FC Lugano vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
SIO
3 - 0
LUG
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
LUG
1 - 1
LAU
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
WIN
4 - 0
LUG
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
MEY
1 - 2
LUG
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
LUG
2 - 2
FCL
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
WIL
4 - 2
LOC
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 3
WIL
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
WIL
2 - 0
BAD
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
FCV
0 - 1
WIL
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
WIL
3 - 1
LAU
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |