FC Lugano vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
BUL
1 - 2
LUG
21%
24%
56%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
LUG
1 - 0
WOH
74%
18%
9%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
BEL
2 - 1
LUG
20%
23%
56%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
BAD
0 - 1
LUG
16%
23%
61%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
LUG
5 - 1
BAU
83%
13%
4%
|
76 | 40 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
WIL
0 - 2
FCV
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
FCL
5 - 1
WIL
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 1
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
WIL
0 - 2
YVE
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SIO
3 - 1
WIL
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |