FC Lugano vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 1
BAS
22%
24%
55%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
LAU
2 - 1
LUG
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCL
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ZUR
3 - 0
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 4
YOB
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
THU
1 - 0
FCL
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
GCZ
0 - 2
THU
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
THU
0 - 0
LAU
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SIO
7 - 2
THU
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
THU
1 - 2
STG
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |