FC Lugano vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LUG
4 - 2
SIO
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FCL
0 - 2
LUG
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 0
LUG
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 2
YOB
23%
24%
52%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
THU
5 - 2
LUG
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
THU
2 - 4
LAU
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SIO
2 - 1
THU
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
THU
2 - 2
STG
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
THU
5 - 2
LUG
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
YOB
3 - 2
THU
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -2 |