FC Lugano vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FCV
5 - 1
LUG
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FCL
2 - 1
LUG
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 3
STG
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SIO
5 - 1
LUG
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 0
LUG
31%
24%
46%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
THU
1 - 2
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
GCZ
1 - 1
THU
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
THU
2 - 3
SIO
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
STG
0 - 0
THU
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 3
THU
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |