FC Lugano vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 4
BAS
19%
21%
60%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
YOB
7 - 0
LUG
70%
17%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 6
SIO
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GCZ
0 - 1
LUG
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FCL
2 - 1
LUG
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SIO
2 - 1
THU
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
THU
2 - 1
GCZ
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
THU
1 - 1
FCL
40%
25%
36%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FCV
0 - 0
THU
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ZUR
0 - 0
THU
48%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -2 |