FC Lugano vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 0
LUG
45%
25%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 2
WIN
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WOH
1 - 1
LUG
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 1
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 3
FCA
36%
26%
39%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
THU
1 - 4
ZUR
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
STG
1 - 0
THU
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
THU
1 - 1
SIO
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
THU
2 - 3
GCZ
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCL
2 - 1
THU
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |