FC Lugano vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
LAU
0 - 5
LUG
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
YVE
2 - 1
LUG
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2009 |
LUG
3 - 1
STG
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 1
SER
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
CON
2 - 3
LUG
35%
24%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
THU
5 - 3
YVE
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LAC
0 - 1
THU
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
THU
3 - 0
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 0
THU
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
LOC
4 - 1
THU
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |