FC Lugano vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GCZ
4 - 3
LUG
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
SIO
0 - 1
LUG
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
THU
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 1
BAS
22%
24%
55%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
LAU
2 - 1
LUG
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
STG
0 - 1
THU
39%
25%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
ZUR
4 - 0
STG
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GCZ
1 - 2
STG
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
STG
2 - 4
YOB
20%
24%
56%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
FCL
3 - 1
STG
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |