FC Lugano vs Sion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
10º
3º
31
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SER
0 - 0
LUG
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 1
STG
33%
24%
43%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
SER
2 - 2
LUG
34%
24%
42%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GCZ
2 - 1
LUG
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
LUG
24%
23%
53%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GCZ
1 - 3
SIO
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SIO
2 - 2
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 2
SIO
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 2
GCZ
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
YOB
4 - 0
SIO
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |