FC Lugano vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
LUG
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
FCK
1 - 0
LUG
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LAU
3 - 0
LUG
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 1
LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
FCL
1 - 0
NEX
49%
25%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
NEX
1 - 3
SIO
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 2
NEX
18%
20%
62%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SER
2 - 2
NEX
53%
23%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
NEX
0 - 3
BAS
18%
21%
62%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |