FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 0
LAU
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
FCM
0 - 3
LUG
6%
14%
80%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
LUG
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 1
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FCV
0 - 3
LUG
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
FCL
3 - 4
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LAU
2 - 1
FCL
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BAS
4 - 1
FCL
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 2
FCL
8%
15%
77%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |