FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
SER
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 3
YOB
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
FCL
1 - 1
LUG
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCV
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
LUG
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
STG
2 - 1
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
FCL
4 - 0
FCV
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
FCL
1 - 1
LUG
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SER
4 - 2
FCL
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
FCL
3 - 0
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |